苏亚松, 张长鲁, 廖梦洁, 贺一恒. 基于ANP和概率神经网络的县域采煤矿区安全风险评价[J]. 煤矿安全, 2020, 51(1): 251-256.
    引用本文: 苏亚松, 张长鲁, 廖梦洁, 贺一恒. 基于ANP和概率神经网络的县域采煤矿区安全风险评价[J]. 煤矿安全, 2020, 51(1): 251-256.
    SU Yasong, ZHANG Changlu, LIAO Mengjie, HE Yiheng. Safety Risk Assessment of County Mining Area Based on ANP and Probabilistic Neural Network[J]. Safety in Coal Mines, 2020, 51(1): 251-256.
    Citation: SU Yasong, ZHANG Changlu, LIAO Mengjie, HE Yiheng. Safety Risk Assessment of County Mining Area Based on ANP and Probabilistic Neural Network[J]. Safety in Coal Mines, 2020, 51(1): 251-256.

    基于ANP和概率神经网络的县域采煤矿区安全风险评价

    Safety Risk Assessment of County Mining Area Based on ANP and Probabilistic Neural Network

    • 摘要: 为提升县域采煤矿区安全一体化监管水平,解决国家监管层面区域级煤矿安全宏观把控能力较弱等问题,通过实地调研和专家咨询法,基于“人员-环境-煤矿-信息-监管-救援”6个层面,提出了具有区域特性的县域采煤矿区安全风险评价指标体系,构建了基于ANP和概率神经网络的县域采煤矿区安全风险评价模型,并进行了实证研究。结果表明:构建的指标体系合理有效,评价模型精确度较高,能够对县域煤矿安全进行较为准确的预警评价。

       

      Abstract: To improve the level of safety integration supervision in county mining areas, and to solve the problem of weak macro-control ability of regional-level coal mine safety at the national regulatory level, using field surveys and expert consultation methods, based on the six levels of “human-environment-coal mine-information-supervision-rescue”, we established a county mining area safety risk evaluation index system, established a evaluation model of coal mines in a region based on ANP and probabilistic neural network, and conducted an empirical study. Research results show that the index system constructed is reasonable and effective and the evaluation model has higher accuracy, it can provide more accurate early warning evaluation of county mining area safety.

       

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