赵德康, 韩冰, 冯国瑞, 史佳波, 任恒辉, 王鹏威, 任培元. 基于LC-SSA-BP神经网络模型的煤层导水断裂带高度预测[J]. 煤矿安全, 2023, 54(5): 78-83.
    引用本文: 赵德康, 韩冰, 冯国瑞, 史佳波, 任恒辉, 王鹏威, 任培元. 基于LC-SSA-BP神经网络模型的煤层导水断裂带高度预测[J]. 煤矿安全, 2023, 54(5): 78-83.
    ZHAO Dekang, HAN Bing, FENG Guorui, SHI Jiabo, REN Henghui, WANG Pengwei, REN Peiyuan. Prediction of coal seam water conduction fault zone height based on Prediction of coal seam water conduction fault zone height based on[J]. Safety in Coal Mines, 2023, 54(5): 78-83.
    Citation: ZHAO Dekang, HAN Bing, FENG Guorui, SHI Jiabo, REN Henghui, WANG Pengwei, REN Peiyuan. Prediction of coal seam water conduction fault zone height based on Prediction of coal seam water conduction fault zone height based on[J]. Safety in Coal Mines, 2023, 54(5): 78-83.

    基于LC-SSA-BP神经网络模型的煤层导水断裂带高度预测

    Prediction of coal seam water conduction fault zone height based on Prediction of coal seam water conduction fault zone height based on

    • 摘要: 针对煤层导水断裂带高度预测精度较低、参数优化比较困难的问题,提出了一种基于Logistic混沌映射改进的麻雀搜索算法优化BP神经网络模型(LC-SSA-BP)的煤层导高的预测方法,与传统的BP神经网络模型相比,该方法收敛快、稳定性高;通过对BP神经网络的权值和阈值进行优化,提高了群体的搜索能力从而增加寻优性,使得预测性能达到最优;选择开采深度、开采厚度、覆岩结构、工作面斜长、煤层倾角作为水断裂带高度的主控因素,选取39组训练样本和4组测试样本数据,建立了LC-SSA-BP神经网络预测模型,并与BP神经网络算法进行了对比。结果表明:BP神经网络与LC-SSA-BP神经网络的最大相对误差分别为30.77%和9.05%,LC-SSA-BP神经网络的预测精度更高;应用该模型预测曙光煤矿90301工作面导水断裂带高度预测为51.6 m,与工程验证结果相比的误差值为5.1%。

       

      Abstract: Aiming at the problems of low prediction accuracy for the height of water-conducting fracture zone and difficult parameters optimization, we propose a guide height prediction method based on improved sparrow search algorithm SSA optimized BP (LC-SSA-BP) neural network model based on logistic chaotic map. This method overcomes the problems of slow convergence, poor stability and easy to fall into local optimization of traditional BP neural network model methods. By optimizing the weight andthreshold of BP neural network, the search ability of the group is improved, so as to increase the optimization and optimize the prediction performance. The mining depth, mining thickness, overburden structure, working face slope length and coal seam inclination are selected as the main influencing factors of the height of water-conducting fracture zone. Using 39 groups of training samples and 4 groups of test samples, the LC-SSA-BP neural network prediction model is established and compared with BP neural network algorithm. The results show that the maximum relative errors of BP neural network and LC-SSA-BP neural network are 30.77% and 9.05% respectively. The prediction accuracy of LC-SSA-BP neural network is higher. Finally, using this model, the height of water-conducting fault zone in Shuguang Coal Mine 90301 working face is predicted to be 51.6 m, the error value compared with the engineering verification result is 5.1%.

       

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