2018—2023年我国煤矿事故特征及规律分析

    Analysis of characteristics and patterns of coal mine accidents in China from 2018 to 2023

    • 摘要: 为减少煤矿事故及造成的损失,基于2018—2023年煤矿事故数据,利用地理信息系统(GIS)和标准差椭圆可视化分析煤矿事故时空演变特征,并从事故数量、等级、类型和时间进行统计分析,探讨我国煤矿事故特征及演变规律。结果表明:煤矿事故的数量和死亡人数在此期间总体呈现波动式下降;煤矿事故在不同地区的分布存在显著差异,北方省份较多,而南方省份单次事故的死亡人数较高;标准差椭圆的短轴和长轴呈现下降趋势,表明事故的空间分布逐渐集中,事故重心从中原向西北移动;顶板事故和运输事故是主要事故类型,顶板事故和瓦斯事故造成的死亡人数最多;一般事故数量和占比保持上升趋势,特别重大事故仅发生1起;煤矿事故的发生具有明显的季节性特征,夏季事故较多。研究表明:我国煤矿安全生产工作逐步取得明显成效,但整体形势依然严峻,需要进一步加强安全监管:针对不同地区采取区域差异化管理,重点加强顶板和瓦斯事故的技术防控,优化生产调度避免季节性事故,强化员工安全培训,进而确保煤矿安全生产。

       

      Abstract: To reduce coal mine accidents and the resulting losses, this study utilizes geographic information systems (GIS) and standard deviation ellipses to visualize the spatiotemporal evolution of coal mine accidents based on data from 2018 to 2023. Statistical analysis is conducted from accident frequency, severity, type, and temporal distribution to explore the features and evolving patterns of coal mine accidents. The results indicate that both the number of accidents and fatalities showed a fluctuating downward trend during this period. Significant regional disparities exist in accident distribution, with higher accident frequencies in northern provinces but higher fatalities per incident in southern provinces. The minor and major axes of the standard deviational ellipse exhibited a decreasing trend, reflecting a gradual spatial concentration of accidents, while the center of gravity shifted from central China to the northwest. Roof fall and transportation accidents emerged as the most frequent types, whereas roof fall and gas explosions caused the highest fatalities. The number and proportion of general accidents continued to rise, with only one extremely severe accident occurring. A distinct seasonal pattern was observed, with higher accident rates in summer. Study result indicates that the safety production work in China’s coal mines has gradually achieved significant results, but the overall situation remains severe and further strengthening of safety supervision is needed. Different regions should adopt differentiated management strategies, with a focus on enhancing technical prevention for roof and gas accidents, optimizing production scheduling to avoid seasonal accidents, and strengthening employee safety training, thereby ensuring the safety of coal mine operations.

       

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