煤矿事故防范措施分类分析及其效能量化评估

    Classification analysis and quantitative efficacy evaluation of coal mine accident prevention measures

    • 摘要: 煤矿事故防范措施对保障矿工生命安全和维持煤矿生产平稳运行具有极为关键的意义,而对其效能展开评估则是优化事故防范策略、增强事故预防能力的核心环节之一。然而,当前事故防范措施缺乏系统性效能验证手段,难以精准量化其实际作用效果。研究聚焦于此,综合分析事故防范措施,构建效能量化模型,旨在为煤矿事故防范措施的优化提供科学依据。全面梳理了煤矿事故防范措施的研究、实践及评价现状,将其归纳为 6 种类型,包括技术防范、管理防范、法规与政策、经济激励、社会参与和应急响应措施,并凝练了各类型资源的使用差异。基于此,构建基于资源视角的煤矿事故防范措施效能量化模型,从资源分配种类、分配比例、作用时效和使用能力4个指标出发,实现对事故防范措施的效能评估。以淮南矿业集团潘二矿为例,通过综合专家打分、问卷调查与现场数据作为模型的输入,计算了该矿事故防范措施的效能值,并提出精细化资源分配方案作为模型的输出,分为人力、技术、财务、物质、物理、信息、管理和应急资源8类资源。在此基础上,对优化后的方案进行了效能再评估,并对比2次模型计算结果,给出事故防范措施改进建议。此外,还对模型中 8 个关键指标进行数据有效性检验,验证了模型结果的准确性和合理性。研究结果显示,优化前效能值为1.2355,优化后效能值为1.3004,说明该量化模型能够有效量化煤矿事故防范措施的效能水平,并为资源分配方案提供优化方向。

       

      Abstract: Coal mine accident prevention measures are of extremely crucial significance for safeguarding the lives of miners and ensuring the stable operation of coal mines. Assessing the efficacy of these measures is a core component in optimizing accident prevention strategies and enhancing prevention capabilities. However, current accident prevention measures lack systematic means for efficacy validation, making it difficult to precisely quantify their actual impact. This study focuses on this issue, conducting a comprehensive analysis of accident prevention measures and developing a quantitative model for efficacy assessment from a resource perspective. The study thoroughly reviewed the research, practice, and evaluation status of coal mine accident prevention measures, categorizing them into six types: technical, managerial, regulatory and policy, economic incentive, social participation, and emergency response measures. The differences in resource utilization among these types were carefully analyzed. Based on this analysis, a quantitative model for assessing the effectiveness of coal mine accident prevention measures was developed, incorporating four indicators: types of resource allocation, allocation ratios, effectiveness duration, and utilization capabilities. Taking Pan’er Mine of Huainan Mining Group as a case study, the efficacy value of its accident prevention measures was calculated using a combination of expert ratings, questionnaires, and on-site data. A refined resource allocation plan was then proposed as the output of the model, dividing resources into eight categories: human, technical, financial, material, physical, informational, managerial, and emergency resources. The efficacy of the optimized plan was re-evaluated. By comparing the results before and after optimization, suggestions for improving accident prevention measures were put forward. Additionally, the data validity of eight key indicators within the model was examined to verify the accuracy and rationality of the model results. The study results indicate that the efficacy value increased from 1.235 5 before optimization to 1.300 4 after optimization. The quantitative model can effectively assess the efficacy level of coal mine accident prevention measures and provide an optimization direction for resource allocation plans.

       

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