巨厚煤层分层复采条件下涌水量预测与数值模拟

    Prediction and numerical simulation of water inflow under slicing recovering in giant thick coal seam

    • 摘要: 在巨厚煤层分层复采条件下,强烈的重复采动扰动导致顶板极其破碎,致使上分层及浅部工作面涌水向下渗漏,并汇聚于下分层及深部工作面。该渗漏过程机理复杂,不服从传统渗流理论,而呈现显著的裂隙流或管道流特征,导致此类工况下工作面涌水量精确预测困难。以孟加拉国巴拉普库利亚煤矿1412工作面为例,系统分析了传统基于渗流理论的涌水量预测方法在此复杂条件下的缺陷与不适用性;进而提出一种基于工作面空间位置关系、开采顺序及邻近工作面水量衰减程度定量估算渗漏量的涌水量预测新方法;同时,基于地下水数值模拟软件(GMS)构建地下水数值模型,采用数值模拟方法预测了1412工作面回采期间的涌水量,并揭示了地下水流场演化规律。研究结果表明:基于GMS Drain模块的数值模拟预测涌水量拟合度达96%,相对误差为4%;所确立的基于渗漏量估算的新方法的水量折减系数范围为57%~80%,预测涌水量拟合度达97.8%,相对误差仅为2.2%。渗漏量估算法与数值模拟法在此复杂工况下均能实现涌水量的精准预测,为类似巨厚煤层分层复采下的强扰动或多煤层叠加开采条件下的涌水量预测提供了有效参考。

       

      Abstract: Under the condition of slicing recovering in giant thick coal seams, the intense repeated mining-induced disturbance causes the roof to be extremely fragmented. This leads to water gushing from the upper layer and the shallow working face, which then seeps downward and accumulates in the lower layer and the deep working face. The mechanism of this leakage process is complex and does not follow the traditional seepage theory. Instead, it exhibits distinct characteristics of fracture flow or pipe flow, making it difficult to accurately predict the water inflow at the working face under such conditions. Taking the 1412 working face of Barapukuria Coal Mine in Bangladesh as an example, the deficiencies and inapplicability of the traditional water inflow prediction method based on seepage theory under such complex conditions were systematically analyzed; subsequently, a new method for predicting water inflow based on the quantitative estimation of leakage volume through the spatial position relationship of the working face, the mining sequence, and the water attenuation degree of adjacent working faces was proposed; at the same time, a groundwater numerical model was constructed based on the ground water math simulation (GMS) software, and the water inflow during the mining of the 1412 working face was predicted using the numerical simulation method, and the evolution law of the groundwater flow field was revealed. The research results show that the numerical simulation based on the GMS Drain module has a fitting degree of 96% for the water inflow volume, with a relative error of 4%. The water volume reduction factor range established based on the leakage volume estimation method is 57% to 80%, and the fitting degree of the predicted water inflow volume is 97.8%, with a relative error of only 2.2%. Both the leakage volume estimation method and the numerical simulation method can accurately predict the water inflow volume under this complex working condition, providing an effective reference for the prediction of water inflow volume slicing recovering in similar conditions of slicing recovering in giant thick coal seams with strong disturbance or multiple coal seams superimposed mining.

       

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