基于动态筛选特征改进的Fisher算法的矿井涌水水源判别

    Improved Fisher algorithm based on dynamic screening features for identifying mine water inflow sources

    • 摘要: 随着煤炭开采深度与强度的增加,矿井受水害威胁程度不断增大,矿井涌水水源的快速精准识别成为矿井水害防治的关键。针对传统Fisher判别依赖固定因子组合、缺乏自适应特征动态选择的问题,提出了一种改进的Fisher判别算法。该算法引入动态筛选特征因子机制,使模型能够根据矿区具体水文地质条件自动优选关键判别因子,有效克服了传统方法适应性不足的问题,减少了冗余信息的干扰。以屯兰矿为例,基于19项水化学判别因子构建模型,经自动筛选后确定最优判别因子组合为8项,并结合回代估计法验证了模型性能。结果显示:改进后的模型在判别灵活性与准确率方面均有显著提升,屯兰矿涌水水源判别的总准确率达到92.97%,较传统方法提升约22%。通过多个矿区水样数据联合检验,模型展现出良好的普适性,进一步验证了其自适应优势。此外,三维判别空间的可视化分析揭示了不同水源类型的分布规律与混合特征,为误判样本的后续优化提供了依据。研究提出的算法兼具高效性、自适应性及强解释性,借助该模型可实现矿井涌水水源的快速精准识别,为煤矿水害防治提供科学依据,有效避免矿井水害事故带来的经济损失与安全风险。

       

      Abstract: With the increase of coal mining depth and intensity, mine water accidents occur frequently, and rapid and accurate identification of water sources has become the key to prevent and control water hazards. An improved Fisher discriminant algorithm is proposed to address the problems that the traditional Fisher discriminant model relies on fixed ion combinations and lacks adaptive feature selection mechanism. The algorithm can automatically select the key discriminant according to the hydrological conditions of the mining area by introducing a dynamic feature selection mechanism, which effectively solves the problem of lack of adaptability caused by relying on the combinations of fixed ions in the traditional method, and avoids the interference of redundant information. Taking Tunlan Mine as the research object, the model was constructed based on 19 hydro-chemical discriminants, and the optimal combination of 8 factors was determined by automatic screening, and the performance of the model was verified by combining the back generation estimation method. The results show that the improved model significantly improves the discrimination flexibility and accuracy, and the total accuracy of Tunlan Mine water inflow discrimination can reach 92.97%, which is about 22% higher than that of the traditional method. The model is jointly tested with water sample data from multiple mining areas, and the model shows significant universality, and its performance in the validation of multiple mining areas verifies its adaptive advantage. Meanwhile, the three-dimensional discriminative spatial display analysis further reveals the distribution pattern and mixing characteristics of different water sources, which provides a basis for the subsequent optimization of misjudged samples. The algorithm proposed in this study has high efficiency, adaptability and strong interpretability, and the model can be used to quickly and accurately identify the water sources of water inflow in the future, which can provide key decision support for the prevention and control of water hazards in coal mines, and reduce the economic losses and safety risks caused by water hazard accidents.

       

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