基于灰色关联分析与混合模型的煤矿甲烷伪数据识别研究

    Coal mine methane pseudo data recognition based on grey relational analysis and hybrid model

    • 摘要: 为解决现有方法对趋势型伪数据识别能力不足的问题,研究并构建了融合灰色关联分析与混合模型的煤矿甲烷伪数据识别方法。首先,以灰色关联分析(Grey Relational Analysis,GRA)为特征提取核心,通过与甲烷浓度高度相关的温度、湿度、风速、气压等环境变量构建比较序列,筛选关键特征,并结合小波阈值降噪、支持向量机异常识别及心跳压缩机制,形成了多环节数据清洗链;其次,设计了自回归积分滑动平均(Auto Regressive Integrated Moving Average,ARIMA)与长短期记忆网络(Long Short−Term Memory,LSTM)串联的预测结构,先由LSTM建模非线性时序,再以ARIMA对残差趋势修正,并利用均方根误差(Root Mean Square Error,RMSE)动态阈值实现伪数据的自动识别。试验结果表明:所提模型在500组样本上的识别准确率为87%,RMSE为0.09,平均绝对误差(Mean Absolute Error,MAE)为0.04,平均响应时间仅33 ms;在趋势型伪数据检测中,伪数据识别率达85%,数据恢复率达93%。与自编码器(Auto Encoder)及卷积神经网络(Convolutional Neural Network,CNN)−长短期记忆网络相比,该模型在有限样本下识别率接近96%,损失值收敛更快,并在多类实际矿井场景中保持最低均方误差(Mean Square Error,MSE),其中高瓦斯作业面MSE约0.43,显著低于对照模型的0.66和0.75。消融实验进一步验证了GRA特征筛选、ARIMA趋势修正及RMSE动态阈值的关键作用。

       

      Abstract: To overcome the limited ability of existing methods to detect trend-type pseudo data, this study develops a recognition method integrating grey relational analysis (GRA) with a hybrid model. GRA is employed to select key environmental factors, such as temperature, humidity, wind speed, and air pressure, which are highly correlated with methane concentration. Combined with wavelet threshold de-noising, support vector machine (SVM) anomaly detection, and heartbeat data-compression mechanisms, a multi-stage data cleaning chain is established. Subsequently, an auto regressive integrated moving average (ARIMA) model and a long short-term memory (LSTM) network are connected in series. The LSTM captures nonlinear temporal features, while ARIMA performs residual trend correction. A dynamic root mean square error (RMSE) threshold then automatically identifies pseudo data. The experimental results show that the proposed model has a recognition accuracy of 87%, RMSE of 0.09, mean absolute error (MAE) of 0.04, and an average response time of only 33 ms on 500 samples. In the detection of trend-type pseudo data, the pseudo data recognition rate is 85% and the data recovery rate is 93%. Compared with auto encoder (AE) and CNN-LSTM, this model achieves a recognition rate close to 96% in limited samples, with faster convergence of loss values and the lowest mean square error in multiple types of actual mine scenarios. The MSE of high gas working face is about 0.43, significantly lower than the 0.66 and 0.75 of the control model. The ablation experiment further validates the key roles of GRA feature screening, ARIMA trend correction, and RMSE dynamic threshold.

       

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