基于BERTopic算法的煤矿安全风险识别与多维分析

    Coal mine safety risk identification and multi-dimensional analysis based on BERTopic algorithm

    • 摘要: 针对煤矿安全风险识别中人工分析主观偏差大、海量非结构化文本利用率低及动态耦合演化机理挖掘不足等问题,依托人工智能文本挖掘技术实现事故大数据的自动化处理与深层次知识发现,旨在为煤矿安全风险精准防控提供科学依据。以2015—2024年的1 709起井工煤矿事故调查报告为核心语料,提出一种基于Transformer双向编码器表征主题模型(Bidirectional Encoder Representations from Transformers based Topic Modeling,BERTopic)的动态主题建模与多维分析方法。首先,利用预训练语言模型将事故文本转化为高维语义向量;其次,应用均匀流形逼近与投影算法(Uniform Manifold Approximation and Projection,UMAP)开展非线性降维,结合基于密度的噪声应用空间层次聚类算法(Hierarchical Density−Based Spatial Clustering of Applications with Noise,HDBSCAN)自适应提取出15个具有显著语义特征的风险主题;随后,融合人−机−环−管系统理论(Man−Machine−Environment−Management,MMEM),从海量文本中凝练出涵盖4大维度的94项关键风险因素,构建煤矿安全多维风险知识体系。多维解析结果显示,风险主题在时间维度上呈现显著演化规律,隐患排查不到位、监管缺失等管理类风险热度持续上升,表明软管理要素已成为制约煤矿安全水平提升的核心瓶颈;而安全培训不足、监控系统故障等技术类风险则呈逐步缓解态势。差异化分析表明,机电事故与“隐患排查与现场管理”、“设备维护”主题的关联强度显著高于其他事故类型,暴露了煤矿设备全生命周期管理的薄弱环节。研究揭示了煤矿事故风险因素的深层关联特征与动态演变机理,验证了所提方法在处理非结构化安全文本数据方面的有效性,为煤矿行业构建双重预防机制、推动事故管理由事后追责向事前预警转变提供了数据支撑。

       

      Abstract: To address the issues of significant subjectivity in manual analysis, low utilization of massive unstructured text date, and insufficient mining of dynamic coupling evolution mechanisms in coal mine safety risk identification, this study aims to utilize artificial intelligence text mining technology to achieve automated processing and deep knowledge discovery of accident big data, providing a scientific basis for precise risk prevention and control. Taking 1 709 investigation reports of underground coal mine accidents from 2015 to 2024 as the core corpus, a dynamic topic modeling and multidimensional analysis method based on Bidirectional Encoder Representations from Transformers based Topic Modeling (BERTopic) technology is proposed. First, pre-trained language models are utilized to transform accident texts into high-dimensional semantic vectors. Second, the Uniform Manifold Approximation and Projection (UMAP) algorithm is applied for nonlinear dimensionality reduction, combined with the Hierarchical Density-Based Spatial Clustering of Applications with Noise (HDBSCAN) algorithm to adaptively extract 15 risk topics with significant semantic characteristics. Subsequently, integrating the Man-Machine-Environment-Management (MMEM) system theory, 94 key risk factors covering four dimensions are condensed from massive texts to construct a multidimensional risk knowledge system. Multidimensional analysis results indicate that risk topics present significant evolutionary laws in the time dimension. The intensity of management-related risks, such as hidden danger investigation and lack of supervision, continues to rise, indicating that soft management elements have become the bottleneck restricting the improvement of safety levels, while technical risks such as safety training and monitoring system failures are gradually alleviated. Differential analysis shows that the correlation intensity of electromechanical accidents with topics like “hidden danger investigation and on-site management” and “equipment maintenance” is significantly higher than that of other types, exposing weak links in the full life-cycle management of equipment. The study reveals the deep association and dynamic evolution mechanism of accident risk factors and verifies the effectiveness of the proposed method in processing unstructured safety text data. It provides data support and targeted guidance for constructing a dual prevention mechanism.

       

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