基于EEMD-LSTM模型网络的露天矿边坡GNSS监测数据多尺度解析

    Multi-scale analysis of GNSS monitoring data of open-pit mine slopes based on EEMD-LSTM model network

    • 摘要: 为了提升露天矿边坡GNSS监测数据的预测精度与稳定性,解决传统方法在处理复杂非线性时序数据时存在的模态混叠、噪声干扰及长期依赖特征捕捉不足等问题,提出了一种基于集合经验模态分解(Ensemble Empirical Mode Decomposition,EEMD)与长短期记忆网络(Long Short-Term Memory network,LSTM)融合的EEMD-LSTM模型。通过EEMD算法对原始监测信号进行自适应分解,生成多个本征模态函数(IMFs),有效分离噪声与异常突变信息,解决传统经验模态分解(Empirical Mode Decomposition,EMD)的模态混叠问题;利用LSTM网络对分解后的IMFs进行时序特征提取与训练,结合其门控机制优化长期依赖建模能力;通过改进的数据隔离流程(多次分解与独立预测)避免信息泄露,并采用多维度误差评价指标(MAE、MAPE、RMSE)验证模型性能。试验以黑龙江某露天矿GNSS监测数据为对象,采集6727组位移数据,预测未来30 d的变形趋势。结果表明:EEMD分解有效提取了高频噪声(IMF1、IMF2)与低频趋势分量(IMF8、IMF9),显著降低异常值对预测的干扰;模型在3D位移预测中表现最优,z方向精度最高(RMSE=0.017),而y方向存在系统性偏差,需进一步优化;改进的隔离流程使2D与3D预测误差显著降低,验证了模型抗信息泄露能力。结合治理方案验证,模型预测结果与边坡稳定性计算(安全系数提升至1.21)高度吻合,治理后监测点位移量稳定在50 mm以内。将EEMD-LSTM模型应用于露天矿边坡GNSS监测场景,通过信号分解与深度学习结合,实现复杂时序特征的多尺度解析,为边坡灾害预警提供了高精度动态预测工具。

       

      Abstract: The EEMD-LSTM model is proposed to enhance the prediction accuracy and stability of GNSS monitoring data for open-pit mine slopes, addressing challenges in traditional methods such as mode mixing, noise interference, and insufficient capture of long-term dependent features in handling complex nonlinear time series data. This model integrates ensemble empirical mode decomposition (EEMD) and long short-term memory (LSTM) networks. Firstly, the EEMD algorithm adaptively decomposes raw monitoring signals into multiple intrinsic mode functions (IMFs), effectively separating noise and sudden anomaly information to resolve the mode mixing issue inherent in traditional empirical mode decomposition (EMD). Secondly, the LSTM network extracts temporal features from decomposed IMFs and enhances long-term dependency modeling through its gate control mechanism. Lastly, an improved data isolation procedure (involving repeated decomposition and independent predictions) prevents information leakage, while multi-dimensional error evaluation metrics (MAE, MAPE, RMSE) validate model performance. Experimental validation utilized GNSS monitoring data from an open-pit mine in Heilongjiang Province, processing 6 727 displacement datasets to predict 30-day deformation trends. Results demonstrated that EEMD successfully isolated high-frequency noise (IMF1, IMF2) and low-frequency trend components (IMF8, IMF9), significantly reducing anomaly-induced prediction interference. The model exhibited optimal performance in 3D displacement prediction, achieving the highest precision in the z-direction (RMSE=0.017), though systematic bias in the y-direction requires further optimization. The improved isolation process notablely reduced errors in 2D/3D predictions, confirming the model’s resistance to information leakage. Correlation with slope stability calculations showed safety factor improvement to 1.21 after treatment, with monitoring point displacements stabilizing within 50 mm. By combining signal decomposition with deep learning, the EEMD-LSTM framework enables multi-scale analysis of complex time series features, providing a high-precision dynamic prediction tool for slope disaster early warning systems in open-pit mining environments.

       

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