基于Transformer-LSTM耦合模型的露天矿爆破振动峰值速度预测

    Prediction of peak particle velocity from open-pit mining blasting based on Transformer-LSTM coupled model

    • 摘要: 爆破作业是露天煤矿生产的关键环节,但其产生的振动会对周边环境和建筑物造成严重危害,准确预测爆破振动峰值速度对减轻损害、保护周围设施及人员安全具有重要意义。利用皮尔逊相关系数(Pearson)、斯皮尔曼秩相关系数(Spearman)、互信息(Mutual Info)分析影响爆破振动速度峰值的关键因素,并结合阈值筛选和Lasso回归筛选的结果,确定模型的输入特征值,提出了基于Transformer和LSTM相结合的深度学习模型,用于预测露天矿爆破振动的峰值速度。该模型结合了Transformer在时序数据处理中的优势和LSTM的记忆能力,充分利用了其对时序数据的高效建模特性。通过跨模态拼接将2种特征进行融合,并引入残差连接与归一化技术,以增强模型的鲁棒性。结果表明:爆心距、高程差、爆区宽度、总药量、排数是影响爆破振动速度峰值的关键因素,因此选取这5个特征作为模型的输入变量。Transformer-LSTM耦合模型的评估指标决定系数(R2)为0.963,均方根误差(RMSE)为2.139,平均绝对误差(MAE)为1.484,平均绝对百分比误差(MAPE)为32.431%,与倒数误差法、XGBoost、IPSO-HKELM和GA-LSSVM模型相比,R2提高了0.63%、7.96%、7.24%、6.17%;RMSE分别较倒数误差法和GA-LSSVM降低了51.19%和143.53%;MAE较倒数误差法、IPSO-HKELM、GA-LSSVM降低了31.71%、3.45%、56.26%;MAPE较XGBoost、IPSO-HKELM、GA-LSSVM降低了37.63%、45.94%、25.78%。因此,在爆破振动速度峰值预测方面,Transformer-LSTM耦合模型在预测精度和误差稳定性优于倒数误差法、XGBoost、IPSO-HKELM、GA-LSSVM模型。

       

      Abstract: Blasting operations constitute a critical production phase in open-pit coal mining, and the vibrations generated by these operations can pose significant risks to the surrounding environment and structures. Accurately forecasting the peak particle velocity (PPV) of blasting-induced vibrations is essential for mitigating damage and ensuring the safety of nearby facilities and personnel. This study employed Pearson correlation coefficients, Spearman rank correlation coefficients, and mutual information to analyze the key factors influencing PPV. By integrating the results from threshold screening and Lasso regression, the input feature values for the predictive model were determined. A deep learning framework combining Transformer and LSTM architectures was proposed to predict PPV in open-pit mining scenarios. This model uses the strengths of Transformers in handling time-series data and the memory capabilities of LSTMs, makes full use of its efficient modeling characteristics for time series data. Cross-modal splicing was utilized to fuse features, while residual connections and normalization technique were incorporated to improve model robustness. The findings indicate that blast center distance, elevation difference, blast area width, total charge, and row number are the primary determinants of PPV. Consequently, these five parameters were selected as input variables for the model. The performance of the Transformer-LSTM coupled model was evaluated using metrics such as the coefficient of determination (R2 = 0.963), root mean square error (RMSE = 2.139), mean absolute error (MAE = 1.484), and mean absolute percentage error (MAPE = 32.431%). These metrics were compared with those of the reciprocal error method, XGBoost, IPSO-HKELM, and GA-LSSVM models. Specifically, R2 increased by 0.63%, 7.96%, 7.24%, and 6.17% respectively; RMSE decreased by 51.19% and 143.53% relative to the reciprocal error method and GA-LSSVM; MAE decreased by 31.71%, 3.45%, and 56.26% compared to the reciprocal error method, IPSO-HKELM, and GA-LSSVM; and MAPE decreased by 37.63%, 45.94%, and 25.78% relative to XGBoost, IPSO-HKELM, and GA-LSSVM. Therefore, the Transformer-LSTM coupled model is superior to accuracy and stability in predicting PPV compared to the reciprocal error method, XGBoost, IPSO-HKELM, and GA-LSSVM models.

       

    /

    返回文章
    返回